Reuters/Pavel RebrovPeople seen during celebrations of Defender of the Fatherland Day in Sevastopol, Crimea.
Here is what you need to know.The British pound is below 1.40 for the first time in seven years. The British pound is worth less than $1.40 for the first time since 2007. While many reasons have been given as to why the pound has slumped nearly 5% since early January, many believe it is due to the uncertainty related to the Brexit referendum in June. The pound is weaker by 1% at 1.3882.
The Bank of Japan’s stimulus could get even bigger. Speaking in front of Japan’s parliament, the Bank of Japan’s governor, Haruhiko Kuroda, told lawmakers it was possible the BOJ’s stimulus program would grow even bigger. Haruhiko said the central bank wouldn’t hesitate to increase the program should consumers’ “deflationary mindset” grow. “We will continue to closely watch the situation of the financial markets to determine whether it could have an impact on Japan’s economy and price trends, and if we judge that it will have adverse effects, we will not hesitate to consider countermeasures,” Kuroda told lawmakers.
Saudi Arabia’s oil minister says there won’t be a production cut. According to the FT, Saudi oil minister Ali al-Naimi told the CERAWeek energy conference in Houston that an oil production cut in Saudi Arabia was “not going to happen.” Al-Naimi suggested that there was less trust among nations than usual and that a country might say it’s cutting production but fail to do so. Crude oil is down 3.6% at $30.72 a barrel.
China’s bond market is open to foreigners. According to Bloomberg, “The People’s Bank of China said most types of overseas financial institutions will no longer require quotas to invest in the Interbank bond market, which accounts for the bulk of debt in the nation.” While commercial lenders, insurance companies, securities firms, and asset managers were included, hedge funds were not. The PBOC hopes China’s relatively high yield (10-year at 2.87%) will help bring money into the country after it burned through $300 billion worth of reserves in just the past three months.
Things look pretty bad for Wall Street bankers. During JPMorgan’s investor day, Daniel Pinto, CEO of JPMorgan’s corporate and investment bank, said investment-banking revenue could plunge 25% in the first quarter. That’s not the only area he thinks will take a hit. According to Pinto, markets revenue is down 20% year-over-year. Pinto did note that YoY numbers were tough to compare because there was an influx of flows last year after the Swiss National Bank removed the euro/franc floor.
The Apple Watch might’ve had a terrible holiday season. The latest International Data Corporation estimate shows that 4.1 million Apple Watches shipped during the holiday quarter, far worse than the average estimate of 5.12 million from Fortune’s panel of analysts. Though below estimates, the Apple Watch continued to see sales grow on a quarter-over-quarter basis, climbing 5% versus the third quarter. That was slower, however, than the 8.3% sales growth registered in the third quarter. Apple doesn’t release sales numbers for the Apple Watch.
Etsy is surging. The online marketplace for handcrafted goods reported a loss of $0.04 a share, missing the breakeven quarter that was expected by the Bloomberg consensus. Revenue spiked 35.4% to $87.8 million, edging out the $86.7 million that was anticipated. In its three-year outlook, Etsy projected gross merchandise sales growth of 13% to 17% and revenue growth of 20% to 25%. Shares were up 10% in after-hours action after tumbling 7% ahead of the release.
Stock markets almost everywhere are lower around the globe. Australia’s ASX (-2.1%) paced the decline overnight, while China’s Shanghai (+0.9%) outperformed. In Europe, Spain’s IBEX (-2.7%) leads the losses. S&P 500 futures are down 16.25 points at 1,899.75.
Earnings reports continue to flow. Chesapeake Energy, Lowe’s, Target, and TJX highlight the names reporting before the opening bell. HP, Salesforce.com, and Transocean are among the companies releasing their quarterly results after markets close.
US economic data is light. New-home sales will be released at 10 a.m. ET, and crude-oil inventories will cross the wires at 10:30 a.m. ET. The US Treasury will auction $34 billion 5-year notes at 1 p.m. ET. The US five-year yield is lower by 2 basis points at 1.17%.